William J. Luther

Economics

December Inflation Meets Expectations

The latest inflation data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis largely confirm market expectations. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index…

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Economics

The Fed Pushes Pause

The Federal Open Market Committee announced on Wednesday it would hold its federal funds rate target at 4.25 to 4.5…

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Economics

Inflation Remained Below Target in August

"More cuts are projected for 2025, but not enough to return the stance of monetary policy to neutral." ~William J.…

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Economics

Fed Rate Cuts: Better Late than Never

"A 50 basis point cut in its federal funds rate target on Wednesday marks a reversal at the Fed." ~William…

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Economics

Inflation Slightly Below Target in July

"The federal funds rate target range is likely to be at least a full percentage point lower by the end…

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Economics

Competing Narratives on Real Wages

"Democrats want to take credit for the higher real wages. Republicans want to deny that real wages are higher. Both…

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Economics

Should the Fed Get Credit for Lower Inflation?

"Labor market developments cannot explain the decline in nominal spending growth. Tighter monetary policy can... Given the lags of monetary…

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Economics

Inflation Remained Low in June

"Despite the progress made on inflation over the last three months, and the risk of overtightening noted by Waller and…

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Economics

Prices Decline in May, Monetary Policy Tightens

"Prices today are 8.9 percentage points higher than they would have been had the Fed hit its 2-percent inflation target…

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Financial

Inflation Increased In May, New Data Show

"It is difficult to say precisely when the inflation tide will turn. But consumers should expect inflation to remain high…

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